
I'm going to win the pick'em challenge as long as I don't shoot myself in the... well, I think you get it.
It’s hard to believe that there are only four more weeks left in the regular season. This year has given us so much to cheer for: the Brett Favre Saga, Mike Singletary’s pants (or lack thereof), the end of an era in fantasy football, and – of course – the comedy of Plaxico Burress. When I first heard that Plax shot himself in the leg I laughed, because I find it funny when people shoot themselves. The media, as it usually does, took most of the humor out of the incident by reminding America how awful it is when professional athletes fail to live up to their role-model status. Anyone who reads this site knows exactly how I feel about athletes as role models. Anyway, here’s a clue to anyone who gets mad about people laughing at the Plaxico incident. It’s always funny when someone shoots themself, if someone else would have gotten hurt it would have been a tragedy. Yes, comedy and tragedy are that closely related. It’s a funny world we live in, but it’s also kind of sad.
Before we get to the picks a reminder: at the end of the year the guy with the least amount of correct picks has to get the winner a football jersey of the winners choosing, then wear said jersey for a day in a public setting. Pictures of the loser in the jersey will be taken and posted on this site. I don’t want people to think that I’m getting too cocky about winning this challenge, there are still a lot of games to be played, and as playing conditions get rough and teams start benching their star players, everything can change.
And on that note, here are how things stand:
Last Week (Including Thursday Night’s Game): Justin (7-4-1), Chad (6-5-1)
Season-to-Date: Justin (85-73-4), Chad (77-81-4)
Cincinatti vs. Indianapolis (-13.5)
Justin’s Take
As a Reggie Wayne owner in fantasy football, I’ve been very disappointed by the Colts offensive production this year. How any team’s offense, let alone the Colts, could go scoreless against the Cleveland Browns is beyond me. Still, something tells me that Peyton and company will figure things our against the Bungles, who gave up on this season 13 weeks ago.
Pick: Colts -13.5
Chad’s Take
Ya wanna know what’s gotten me into this four games under .500 mess? It’s picking certain teams because I think it’s going to be their breakout week. Well screw that – It’s time to make a stand!
Just not in this game…
Pick: Colts -13.5
Jacksonville vs. Chicago (-7)
Justin’s Take
Chicago needs to win this game to salvage their season, and they are going to have home field advantage, which actually matters given the nasty weather conditions, but it’s still hard for me to give them a whole touchdown in this game (or any game for that matter). Jacksonville has been one of the most disappointing teams of the year, but that’ll happen when you lose the majority of your offensive line. Call me nuts, but I think the Bears will win by double digits. The Jags will not have their hearts in this game given the cold and the fact that they have no chance at the playoffs.
Pick: Chicago -7
Chad’s Take
It’s cold in Chicago right now. I don’t even want to go outside. But Kyle Orton is going to be warm – and it’s all because of the neck-beard. Let’s be real honest here though. Are the Bears good enough to be seven point favorites? Are the Jags that bad? No annnnnnnnnnd no!
Pick: Jacksonville +7
Houston vs. Green Bay (-6)
Justin’s Take
I know Green Bay doesn’t have a winning record, but I still think they are a highly talented team capable of putting a whooping on teams like the Texans. Speaking of Houston, they are going to be starting Matt Schaub for the first time in weeks against a Packers Defense that is pretty tough against the pass (unless they are playing in New Orleans). I really like the Packers in this one, which probably means you should go with Houston… we’ll see.
Pick: Green Bay -6
Chad’s Take
I’ve got a feeling that this could be the week that Houston breaks out. NO CHAD! NOOOO! DON’T DO IT!
Pick: Houston +6
Cleveland vs. Tennessee (-14)
Justin’s Take
Every time I get scared about the 14 point line in this game I just keep telling myself, “It’s Ken freaking Dorsey out there,” and I instantly feel good with picking the Titans.
Pick: Tennessee -14
Chad’s Take
I hate double-digit lines (except for the 33 point spread that UCLA was getting against USC yesterday. It’s been documented that I would’ve put big money on the Bruins in that game). Let’s see…Ken Dorsey vs. the best defense in the NFL. I have no fear here.
Pick: Tennessee -14
Minnesota vs. Detroit: No Line
Washington vs. Baltimore (-5.5)
Justin’s Take
As a disappointed Clinton Portis owner I can tell you that the Redskins are not much of a team without the stud RB in their backfield (much like my fantasy team). Baltimore has been beating teams up pretty bad this year, and I wouldn’t want to face them in the playoffs.
Pick: Baltimore -5.5
Chad’s Take
Now that OJ has gone to jail – is it time for Ray Lewis to actually take a stab at someone again? Yea…that was bad, I know.
Pick: Baltimore -5.5
Philadelphia vs. New York Giants -7
Justin’s Take
I think the Giants have one more loss in them before the playoffs and the Eagles are just crazy enough to give it to them. This really isn’t a vote of confidence for Philly, I just think that this whole Plaxico situation has to cost New York a game somewhere.
Pick: Philadelphia +7
Chad’s Take
I was really hoping J would take the Giants here, so I could take Philly. I even considered taking the Giants, just to be different and try to make a comeback. Then I saw the next game…
Pick: Philadelphia +7
Atlanta vs. New Orleans (-3)
Justin’s Take
I know the Saints score around 100 points a game at home, but this is Atlanta’s chance to really take a stand in the NFC South and prove they belong in the NFC elite.
Pick: Atlanta +3
Chad’s Take
I’m more than happy to take New Orleans here. By the way – is Matt Ryan going to be the first rookie to start all 16 games, and literally have no “rookie moments?”
Pick: New Orleans -3
New York Jets vs. San Francisco (+3.5)
Justin’s Take
I know the 49ers have played relatively well over the last few weeks, but I still find this line to be ridiculous. The Jets are in the midst of a pretty heated playoffs race and San Fran is still not that good. Sorry guys, but I still can’t bet with ‘em.
Pick: New York -3.5
Chad’s Take
When I see lines like this, I ask myself – what does Vegas know that I don’t? Probably a lot of things, but I’m still going to take the bait.
Pick: New York -3.5
Miami vs. Buffalo (-1)
Justin’s Take
Buffalo lost to the 49ers at home and Miami is a much better team than San Fran, you add that to the fact that JP Lossman is Buffalo’s starting QB and you have an equation for defeat.
Pick: Miami +1
Chad’s Take
Toronto is not a home game. If you’re a season ticket holder, and you have to have a passport to watch your team’s home games, it’s a little bit ridiculous.
Pick: The Skydome….errrr…I mean Miami +1
Kansas City vs. Denver (-9)
Justin’s Take
Hey it looks like the Broncos might me interested in winning the AFC West after all, good for them. Last time these two teams played Larry Johnson had 198 yards rushing, if that stat doesn’t depress Larry Johnson owners, I don’t know what will. The result of their last game was a 33-19 win for the Chiefs, but they’ve only gone on to win one other game all year. Still, I can’t help but think Kansas City will find a way to make this game close enough for me to cover, so I give you my regret filled pick of the week!
Pick: Kansas City +9
Chad’s Take
Justin says this is a regret filled pick. Ya think he’s trying to trap me? Yea, probably. Ahhh, what the hell. If this was his plan, at least I get to pull the “HE TRAPPED ME” line from Rounders.
Pick: Denver -9
St. Louis vs. Arizona (-14)
Justin’s Take
Arizona hasn’t had a big win since the last time they’ve played the Rams in week 9. I don’t think they will fair quite as well against St. Louis this week given that Steven Jackson will be playing and the Cardinals are basically ensured a playoff spot at this point. I still think Arizona will win, but I don’t think it will be a blowout.
Pick: Rams +14
Chad’s Take
Does Kurt Warner and Hall of Fame sound OK in the same sentence? It better, because he could lock up another MVP this season.
Pick: Rams +14
Dallas vs. Pittsburgh (-3)
Justin’s Take
Now this is a game I can get behind. You have a Dallas team who is just fighting to make the playoffs going up against a Pittsburgh squad who wants to prove they are the best team in the league. Marion Barber has been questionable all week with bad ribs, but one has to assume he’ll suit up for this one. Even though I think the Steelers are probably the better team, I think the fact that the Cowboys are so desperate for a win will push them over the top for this game. I think this is one of those games where TO has a huge game when it matters, as he is prone to do from time to time.
Pick: Dallas +3
Chad’s Take
I have a feeling this is going to be one of the best games of the year. Two great teams with differing styles, out in a cold, smash-mouth atmosphere. This, is the National Football League baby. Without Marion Barber though, I think the Cowboys could get rolled.
Pick: Pittsburgh -3
New England vs. Seattle (+6.5)
Justin’s Take
I just can’t get over how bad the NFC West was this year, I think that any team didn’t have a chance to play against the NFC West this year should automatically get two wins put on their record, it’s only fair.
Pick: New England -6.5
Chad’s Take
Just because this game is in Seattle, Vegas things they can drop this line below double digits. Fine then – I have no problem taking New England.
Pick: New England -6.5
Tampa Bay vs. Carolina (-3)
Justin’s Take
You know, it seems like every time I pick against the Bucs in big games I lose. I’m really not a big fan of Jake Delhomme, so I feel pretty good about going with the points.
Pick: Tampa Bay +3
Chad’s Take
I keep picking against Tampa Bay, and I keep getting burned. Let’s shake things up a bit, eh?
Pick: Tampa Bay +3