Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I really feel like Thanksgiving is the greatest holiday there is. What is better than being with friends and family, eating loads of turkey, mash potatoes with graving, and pumpkin pie, watching football, and taking a nice long turkey induced nap. The only upsetting part of Thursday’s festivities was having to watch Brian Westbrook single handily defeat my fantasy football team. I want to put this question out to the people. Would you consider the following a fair trade:
Brain Westbrook and Andre Johnson for Derrick Ward and TJ Houshmanzadeh.
Exactly.
A quick note on our podcast before we to our picks. Thanks to Chad’s friend Aaron, we will have a mixing board for podcasting, and hopefully we will start cranking out shows next week. Stay tuned for more on that.
Anyway, last week I put a whooping on Chad, and now it’s time for me to close the door on his comeback chances. Here are our week 13 picks.
Last Week: Justin (11-2-1), Chad (7-6-1)
Thursday: Justin (2-1), Chad (1-2)
Season-to-Date: Justin (78-69-3), Chad (71-76-3)
Denver vs. New York Jets (-7.5)
Justin’s Take
The Jets looked extremely impressive last week against the Titans, and now they get the Broncos, who give up 144 yards on the ground, this bodes well for the Jets who are at their best when they have their ground game going. There is a part of me that thinks this could be a trap game for New York, but I’m not one to bet against Favre at home this time of year.
Pick: Jets -7.5
Chad’s Take
The Thomas Jones/Leon Washington tandem could have themselves a huge week. Think about how much the NFL changes during a season. Four weeks into this season, Denver was considered the second best team in the AFC because of their unstoppable offense, led by Jay Cutler. Now, they are 7.5 point dogs against a team that is good but not great. My oh my how things can change in the league.
Pick: Jets -7.5
San Francisco vs. Buffalo (-6.5)
Justin’s Take
I hate to say this, but I think I’m going to have to put San Fran in the “don’t bet on this team on the road unless they are getting at least a touchdown” category. I have to admit though, as much as I hate Mike Singletary as a head coach, at least he keeps the 49ers in the national media’s spotlight. At this point it really doesn’t matter who is coaching the Niners, because they don’t have enough talent to be successful in the league. At least 49ers fans have Samurai Mike to keep them entertained.
Pick: Buffalo -6.5
Chad’s Take
I like Buffalo to win this game, but I don’t think they’ll be going off at the rate they destroyed the Kansas City last week. Being gone for most of a Sunday really throws a guy out of the loop on things. Or maybe I’m just getting loopy. Why you ask? Check this out:
Pick: San Franscisco +6.5
New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay (-4)
Justin’s Take
Hold on a second, I think the Saints just scored another touchdown on the Packers. The Sports Fella made a good point on this weeks podcast when he mentioned that NFC South games are always close. If New Orleans can get their offense back on track they will be able to beat any team in the South. I know they don’t have much of a defense, but when New Orleans’ offense is on track they are hard to beat.
Pick: New Orleans +4
Chad’s Take
For some reason, I just don’t ever trust the Buccaneers. Oh, and if I’m down by 5 games or more with two weeks to go, then I’m going to call one of those 1-800 betting numbers to try and land all the picks in the last few weeks. I do NOT want to wear a Patrick Willis jersey for a couple of days. Though, come to think of it, outside of the people of San Francisco and the other 67 fans they have, who would know Willis anyways?
Pick: New Orleans +4
Carolina vs. Green Bay (-4)
Justin’s Take
Green Bay gives up 143 rushing yards a game, this does not bode well for them when they are playing a Panthers team that rushes for over 130 yards every week. I don’t know about Green Bay, some games they look like one of the best teams in the NFC and on others, like last week, they look awful. I can see this being one of those picks I regret making.
Pick: Carolina +4
Chad’s Take
…Especially if I get it right!!
Pick: Green Bay -4
Miami vs. St. Louis (+9)
Justin’s Take
Only in the NFC West can you have a team that’s 2-9 be 2nd place in their division. My dad keeps asking me when Steven Jackson is going to be back, at this point I’d seriously consider shutting him down for the year. As for the Dolphins, I think the fact that Miami has a winning record says more about the League this year than anything else. Still, the Rams are at home and are getting nine points, perhaps they can manage to keep this game close.
Pick: St. Louis +9
Chad’s Take
I saw St. Louis play live last week. There ain’t no way they keep this one close. You can’t even call this a home game for them, because they won’t have more than 20,000 of their fans there.
Pick: Miami -9
Baltimore vs. Cincinnati (+7)
Justin’s Take
The Bengals were able to lose by only a TD in their first contest in Baltimore, but the Ravens have improved since then, and have won six of their last seven games by ten points or more.
Pick: Baltimore -7
Chad’s Take
I love disagreeing with Justin, but I can’t disagree against logic. I think this one would be my big money bet of the week.
Pick: Baltimore -7
Indianapolis vs. Cleveland (+4)
Justin’s Take
The Colts have won their last four, and even though the games have been tight, you can start to see some major improvements on the offense. Cleveland is now relying on Derek Anderson to lead their team after Brady Quinn went down for the year with a broken finger. I guess Vegas is banking on the Browns rallying around their once all-star QB to pull off an upset… good luck with that.
Pick: Indianapolis -4
Chad’s Take
C’mon Sheridan…throw us a freaking bone here. You couldn’t make this like a 6.5 game? Don’t you feel a little bit bad for them since they lost Brady Quinn? Me neither. I think Indy is starting to click on all cylinders, and just at the right time too. When was the last time that Indy is gearing up to be hot going into the playoffs, instead of just coasting through the last five weeks? It was before the Tony Dungy era, I can tell you that forsure.
Pick: Indianapolis -4
Atlanta vs. San Diego (-4.5)
Justin’s Take
I’m starting to wonder if I’m just picking against the Chargers out of spite at this point. Here’s a question for you, is LDT a first round pick in fantasy next year? As long as I’ve been playing fantasy football Tomlinson has been a top three pick, next year is going to be a strange year in fantasy.
Pick: Atlanta +4.5
Chad’s Take
Has any team had a tougher year the the Chargers? A few close, crazy losses can really send your season into a tailspin before you know it. That’s exactly what has happened here. Honestly, who loses 11-10? Nobody before these guys. Atlanta is a team that really hasn’t faced an NFL elite team, and that could be the main reason they are 7-4.
Pick: San Diego -4.5
Pittsburgh vs. New England (-1)
Justin’s Take
It’ll be interesting to see how much money Matt Cassell gets offered next year by Minnesota and Detroit. He’s been a real pleasure to watch over the last couple of weeks. Still, the Steelers are a different beast all together, and with Dallas, Baltimore, and Tennessee still on the schedule, Pittsburgh needs to get a win this week to stay ahead in their division.
Pick: Pittsburgh +1
Chad’s Take
I would love to take New England here, but no matter what has happened in a game this year, Pittsburgh seems to adjust and get themselves a W. If they’re getting a point, I have to take them
Pick: Pittsburgh +1
Kansas City vs. Oakland (-3)
Justin’s Take
I just realized that the AFC West is just as bad as the NFC West. I feel sorry for anyone who bought season tickets for either of these two teams, although it’s not like they didn’t know what they were getting into when they bought them. I can’t think of any other way to pick this game besides going with the home team. I would not bet on this game.
Pick: Oakland -3
Chad’s Take
Wait a second. Oakland is favored in this game? Is this a sick joke? Justin may not want to bet on this game, but I’m going to bet the house on this one. And the car, and all of my personal belongings.
Pick: Kansas City +3
Chicago vs. Minnesota (-3.5)
Justin’s Take
Remember last year when Adrian Peterson broke the single game rushing record against the Bears? That was pretty sweet.
Pick: Minnesota -3.5
Chad’s Take
The Bears have proven they can stop the run when they want to (they just stack nine in the box). Now, would you trust Gus Frerotte with your money here? I wouldn’t, but then again, I wouldn’t be caught dead betting on this game.
Pick: Minnesota -3.5
Jacksonville vs. Houston (-3.5)
Justin’s Take
Both of these teams have been disappointing this year, and I would probably not bet on this game if I was a gambler. However, being that I need to make a pick here I’m going to go with the team getting the points.
Pick: Jacksonville +3.5
Chad’s Take
If Sage the Rage is giving up points, then I’m going taking the opposite team. Oh my…it’s even Jacksonville too!
Pick: Jacksonville +3.5









