Editors Note: Everyone should be prepared for the Super Blowlg (see how we snuck two words together….haha, we’re clever like that) we’ve written. Have a good Super Bowl weekend everyone, and we’ll talk to you Monday at the latest for possibly a running diary – since we’ll be viewing the big game together at our friends Zach’s house.
Also, for everyone reading this blog, please forward the website touts.wordpress.com along to other sports fans that you know. The best way to get more readers is by word of mouth from one reader to another…so help us out if you can!
By: Justin Jacobs & Chad Ruter
Justin: Here’s the deal with this game. You have several factors that make this game one of the most interesting Super Bowls of all time. The Patriots are going for a 19-0 season. Which, for those of you that have been in a coma for the last six months, has never been done before. The ‘72 Dolphins went undefeated, but they only had to play 17 games. I never thought that I’d see an NFL team go undefeated in my lifetime. There are just too many variables when it comes to perfection – especially in the era of free agency. What they have already done is amazing, and if they win on Sunday you have to call them the greatest team to ever play… whether we like it or not.
Chad: Yes, the free agency era does make it more difficult to do something like this, but look at how this team was constructed. The Patriots are primarily built by drafting well and trading well. They did spend a great deal of money on Adalius Thomas and Donte Stallworth, but in all reality they realized early on that the free agent market is imperfect and expensive. Tom Brady was a 6th round pick, they traded a 4th round pick to get Randy Moss (greatest trade in the history of mankind outside of the fleecings I’ve pulled on Justin in fantasy baseball), and then swapped a 2nd and 7th round pick to acquire Wes Welker. All this, while collecting a first round pick in the 2008 NFL draft that ended up being in the top-10. The amazingness of the Patriots on the field is simply a mirror of the perfection they struck off of it.
Justin: I agree completely, and being a 49ers fan, I can attest to how good they are in the front office. That first round pick should have been ours, but we got swindled by a smarter team… kind of like what happens between Chad and I in fantasy baseball. Anyways, another point of interest is the whole New York vs. Boston angle to this game. I know most people who don’t live on the East Coast are probably just rolling their eyes, but you really have a built-in rivalry with this game. Add to that the point that most people outside are envious of what the Patriots have and you have maybe the most lob-sided fanbase of all-time. Which is weird becuase the Giants are full of people that I just can’t see myself rooting for: Eli, Strahan, Coach Tom… I’m not big fans of any of these guys, and let’s not even talk get into Archie.
Chad: I think we’re in agreeance that the game would’ve been much better if the Packers would have made it. The Brett Favre storyline alone would’ve made Super Bowl 42 the most watched in the history of television. Instead, we get a Giants team that nobody outside of New York particularly likes, yet millions are rooting for them, and they are doing so for one of three reasons. Either A. They hate Tom Brady, B: They don’t want to see a team go undefeated, or C: They feel that the Patriots are cheaters for the Spygate scandal. Now that I think about it…the Patriots were the one and only draw for this game. It could’ve been the Colts vs. the Packers, and it wouldn’t be getting nearly the amount of press coverage it has gotten because of the perfection that is on the line. If the Patriots win…they are simply the greatest team that ever played, hands down. Don’t try to argue for the ‘85 Bears, or the ‘75 Steelers or the late 80’s 49ers. None of them did what the Patriots have a chance of doing.
Justin: Not so fast there Chad, I’m not sure that I don’t like this match-up better. I mean, we already know that the Giants can give me a game because they did. And you can’t use the excuse that the Patriots weren’t trying in that game because every game the Patriots have played this year has been a Super Bowl. The Packers had there chance to be in this game and Brett Favre, the legend that everybody loves, blew it… again. I really think we are going to get a better game here than we would have with the Packers. The Giants have a defensive front that can get to the QB, they have a tough running game that can wear down the older Patriots defense and a big game receiver in Plaxico Burress. I’m not saying that the Giants are going to beat the Patriots, but I do think they pose more of a challenge than the Packers. I think the Packers are still a couple of years away from being ready to win title, whereas I think this is probably the Giants best shot. Although you’re right in that more people would have probably watched that game, but I could care less about what people want to watch.
Chad: But you said it right there J, we’ve already seen this game. Each of these teams played their hearts out in Week 17, and the Patriots came away the victor. And I believed all year long that the Packers would have the best shot at beating the Patriots. They had a decent running game with Ryan Grant; a defensive line that rotated 7-8 guys, keeping constant pressure on the QB; two corners that play the most physical football out of any DB tandem in the league, and a QB and wide receiving core that could lead a team back from 2 TD’s down if it was necessary. Enough about the Packers though. The key to this Super Bowl, as is any game with the Patriots, is Tom Brady. If he’s as accurate as he was against the Jaguars in the Divisional round, then this game shouldn’t even be played. For the Giants to have a chance, Brady has to throw under 65% with at least an interception. If he pulls the magical game like he did three weeks ago, then waive bye-bye to the Giants. When talking about big game QB’s, there is no one better than Brady. A lot of people have been saying the Super Bowl hinges on the way Eli handles the big game, and that thought couldn’t be further from the truth. The Giants don’t rely on Eli – they tolerate him. Even if he is as good as he’s looked the past few games.
Justin: Indeed. What I’m wondering is how will Randy Moss make an impact on this game? It is almost a given that he is going to have bracket coverage on him for the entire game. Will Brady throw him a couple of bombs and hope that he will be able to get under one, or will the Patriots keep doing what they have been doing, dink and dunk. This Patriots team has so many ways to kill you. Moss can burn you deep, Welker will get his catches over the middle, and Kevin Faulk/Donte Stallworth will turn five-yard screen passes into big plays. Have we ever seen a team play the game the way we mortals play Madden? Tom Brady is the key though. If the Giants don’t get pressure on him then they are going to get destroyed.
Chad: The impact of Randy Moss is all up to Tom Brady. He said it himself, if he’s covered, he won’t get the ball, if he’s open, he will. Brady isn’t going to risk throwing a dumb pass to Moss just to keep him happy. Moss will be happy with a ring on his finger. That’s the only reason he accepted a pay cut to come to New England. I just can’t wait to see this Pats team in Madden next year. Think they’ll be the first 99 overall offense?
Justin: I don’t think you can put them anywhere but 99. You know now that we’ve been talking about it, I really don’t see any scenarios in which the Giants will beat the Patriots. This team is just too focused, well coached and talented to play a stinker in the biggest game of their lives.
Chad: So does this mean you’re taking the Patriots minus the 12 points?
Justin: Yeah, I think if the Patriots get up on the Giants early this game isn’t going to be remotely close. You have to know that Belichick wants to annihilate this team because A) the Giants actually made a game of their first contest and B) he wants to give one last eff-you to anyone who is still talking about Spygate.
Chad: I agree the Pats win, but there is no way I’m taking the points. The last time the Pats covered a spread was before Thanksgiving, yet Vegas has been pumping their lines incredibly high. Maybe they are responding to the way the public is betting, but I’m guessing they are just trying to cover their butt. And before we get to the prop bets, with an over/under of 9 1/2, how many words does Belichick say to Coughlin during the post-game handshake?
Justin: Good question actually. You never know with Bill, but I’m guessing it’s just Super Bowl decorum to say at least two sentences to the opposing coach after the game, so I’ll take the over.
Chad: And I quote, “Great game Tom, you guys really played great tonight.” That’s 1, 2, 3….9. Gimme the under baby! How bout the other prop bets now. Who has more…Tom Brady interceptions, or Derek Fisher missed free throws?
Justin: Well I have to admit that I haven’t been counting Derek Fisher free throws, I’m not that sick of a Lakers fan, but since I don’t see Brady throwing a pick in this game, I’ll go with Tom throwing less INT’s than Fisher missing FT’s.
Chad: C’mon now…Derek Fisher is money from the line (88% in 2007-2008), and you know Tom Brady can’t pitch a perfect game in this Super Bowl. At some point he had to have fooled around with Jessica Simpson, and that’s good enough for one floater that goes the other way. How bout what team throws the first challenge flag?
Justin: For some reason one of the first things that I think of when I think of the Patriots is Bill and that damn flag in his sock, for that reason alone I’ll take the Patriots.
Chad: Agreed…and since I dressed up as Lovie Smith for Halloween, I have my own challenge flag. In honor of Bill Belichick, I will wear my challenge hankie in my sock all day on Super Sunday. How bout the over/under of 5 1/2 for the amount of times Joe Buck says Peyton Manning’s name? Saying Peyton counts too.
Justin: When we were prepping this column I said under, then I remembered that the Giants were in the Super Bowl and that Eli is Peyton’s brother. I’ll take the over, and it’s been a long week.
Chad: Whoever set this line on Bodog.com has obviously never watched the lead game on Fox every week. There’s no doubt…bet high with confidence folks. Since I don’t want to do another Manning prop bet…we’ll just go to the last one. What is the jersey number of the player that scores first…over/under 43 1/2?
Justin: If this was any other team but the Patriots I’d say under, but for some reason I see Wes Welker (#83) scoring the first touchdown in this game, it just seems fitting somehow.
Chad: Stephen Gostkowski (#3) bangs in a 34-yarder to make it 3-0…so give me the under. Any final thoughts my friend?
Justin: I guess my final thought is this. I’ve made a considerable effort not too watch coverage of this game in the media up until today and I have to say I’m incredibly glad I didn’t. For the first time in years I’m actually excited to watch the game, and I think a lot of that has to do with the fact that I’m not completely burnt out on it already. The Super Bowl is one of my top 3 days of the year, right up there with New Years and Christmas. Everything is great about Super Bowl Sunday, the beer is flowing, friends abound, we get to watch one last football game. Hell, even the commercials are good. So I hope everyone enjoys their Super Sunday and stays safe. I give Chad the last word as he has earned it, you truly carried this column my friend… job well done.
Chad: No no sir, the only reason I get the last word is because I’m compiling all the text. Couldn’t have said it better myself J. The best part about the Super Bowl is the company you get to watch it in. Good food, good drinks, and good friends…what more could anyone ask for? May everyone stay safe for Super Sunday…and we’ll be back on Monday (maybe sooner if you’re lucky).
-JJ & CR






